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Eye on the Enterprise
Analysts Look Back--and Ahead

The new year dawns with little of the drama that last year's Y2K scare brought to the new millennium, but 2001 promises fresh challenges for the enterprise. We asked top industry analysts to weigh in on three key topics: Windows 2000, customer relationship management (CRM), and application service providers (ASPs). Our analysts also highlight what they expect will be the most dramatic changes in 2001. Mebeli i obzavejdane!

Windows 2000 Adoption
The immaturity of Windows 2000 may have been an issue in its namesake year, but will 2001 be its shining moment? Though there's growth in this operating system's future, the analysts differ on how quickly enterprises will deploy it.


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Carl Howe
Research Director
Forrester Research
Real Production Deployments
I expect there to be more uptake in 2001 than in 2000. It won't be a groundswell, but I expect to see some companies start rolling out real production deployments in 2001, something that we had recommended against in 2000 because of the immaturity of the system. Expect deployments to be double or triple those in 2000, but that's because there were so few in 2000. (An example: Recently, Fujitsu proudly announced it had converted its entire headquarters to Windows 2000. It sounded impressive--until they noted that it was exactly 300 PCs).
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John Enck
Research Director
Gartner

Kevin Knox
Vice President and
Research Area Director
Gartner

A Highly Successful Year
The coming year will be a highly successful one for Windows 2000. Gartner estimates that by the end of 2001, 40 percent to 45 percent of Windows installations will have been upgraded to the new platform.

The benefits of Windows 2000, especially its increased usability and scalability, are already widely recognized. The principal factor that prevented more widespread adoption in 2000 was time--the time enterprises always need to plan and troubleshoot the transition to a new platform. Now that they have gotten through the shakeout phase, many more enterprises are ready to implement Windows 2000.


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